S&P Breakdown From Bear Flag; Dow Technicals Net Bearish

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There was no acceleration in losses for the Russell 2000 and Semiconductor Index yesterday, instead it was the S&P 500’s turn to break from its ‘bear flag’. It was more of a technical break than an absolute loss but given net technical weakness, it must be respected.

S&P Breakdown From Bear Flag; Dow Technicals Net Bearish

SPX Daily Chart

The Dow also broke from its ‘bear flag’ but the 200-day MA is available to lend support (already lost for the S&P). Other technicals are net bearish.

S&P Breakdown From Bear Flag; Dow Technicals Net Bearish

INDU Daily Chart

Tech Indices are caught in a mixed zone. Some may argue it has already lost ‘bear flag’ support; others may view it at continued support.

S&P Breakdown From Bear Flag; Dow Technicals Net Bearish

COMPQ Daily Chart

The Russell 2000 is down, trading at the recent swing low. Aggressive buyers could go long a move above 1,551 with a stop on a loss of 1,530.

S&P Breakdown From Bear Flag; Dow Technicals Net Bearish

RUT Daily Chart

For today, yesterday’s indecision probably reflects a reluctance for shorts to add to their positions and for bulls to ‘sell.’ This leaves the next move for buyers to come in and for shorts to cover.

The basis for a rally, and maybe a challenge of prior highs, looks to be in place. If you are a short, don’t get greedy. If the ‘bear flags’ are to play to form then decent downside has to come soon, otherwise, it will trade out flat (and into a sideways consolidation).

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