Despite Thursday’s Upswing, Stocks Could See Another 20% Decline


Many savvy investors look at the NYSE Composite to gauge the health of the broader market, which as it struggles with correction, we will look at this broad-based stock index for clues about a possible market correction.

In the chart below, you can see that the NYSE Composite has foretold stock market correction with “hanging man” monthly candlesticks. This occurs when the market falls sharply intra-month and rallies into the market close (yet still closing the month below where it opened). This pattern exerts a lot of energy and still produces a red candle… with a long tail “wick”.

This occurred in 2000, 2007, 2011, 2015 and once again in 2018. The key here is that the NYSE holds on to the 2018 lows (or regains them quickly upon loss). Right now, we are trading below this year’s monthly “closing” lows and near the overall lows. Pay attention!

The NYSE Composite could be warning investors that the broader stock market is ready to head lower once more if support at (1) breaks and is not immediately recovered.

Despite Thursday's Upswing, Stocks Could See Another 20% Decline

Monthly NYSE

Stock bulls will get a bearish message from the NYSE index if it closes this month below the February lows.


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