DAX 30 Technical Highlights:
- DAX turn lower from resistance brings support to light
- ~12100 is a reaction level to watch this week
- A couple of scenarios to watch moving forward
For the intermediate-term fundamental and technical outlook for the DAX & Euro, check out the just-released 4th Quarter Forecasts.
DAX turn lower from resistance brings support to light
In last week’s DAX commentary, we discussed the obstacles which laid ahead in the form of confluent resistance between the trend-line running down off the June peak and the underside of the February 2016 trend-line. This turned out to be a key spot as anticipated, and with the quick trade lower has important support in focus.
The area around 12100 put a floor in on a couple of occasions, once in June and then again in August, before giving way in September. Despite the trade lower and back higher through this area this month, it could still be impactful soon.
A test and hold will bring in the possibility of a not only a higher low from earlier in the month, but could also forge out a right shoulder of an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. The June trend-line is near the neckline, which if the pattern is to be validated both will need to be broken.
Another scenario is for price to get jammed up between the June trend-line and 12100 before making a break one way or the other. Both of these are just scenarios, but in any case, there is support (12100) and resistance (June t-line) to contend with for the time-being.
From a tactical standpoint, for now, we are trading between support and resistance, and as such it makes for a tricky spot. But soon we should have better clarity on which way the market may want to resolve itself.
For market sentiment and to learn more about how to use it in your analysis, check out the IG Client Sentiment page.
DAX Daily Chart (12100 support, June t-line, H&S?)
Want to learn more about trading the DAX? Check out ‘How to Trade the DAX’, and join me weekly for technical updates in the Indices and Commodities webinar.
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—Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst
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